Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 23 · 11:00pm CT · Ryan Field · Evanston, IL11:00pm CT
RUTG
Rutgers Scarlet Knights · Big Ten · 0-3 · Away
FPI -5.6 · rank 90 · No CFBD row
NU
Northwestern Wildcats · Big Ten · 2-0 · Home
FPI 9.3 · rank 33 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
NU
RUTG
Model
NU -17.4
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
NU
NU · RUTG
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • NU rating 9.3, RUTG rating -5.6.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to NU.
  • Predicted margin is NU by 17.4.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 17.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 14.9; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is NU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

RUTG

FPI -5.6 · rank 90 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs USC 42-35 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ BC 28-21 · Fri, Sep 11
  3. Lvs MASS 37-21 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. Lvs PSU 40-36 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ OSU 42-9 · Sat, Nov 22

NU

FPI 9.3 · rank 33 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs COLO 41-7 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs SDST 34-18 · Sat, Sep 5
  3. Wvs CMU 34-7 · Fri, Dec 26
  4. L@ ILL 20-13 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Wvs MINN 38-35 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 17.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 14.9; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.