Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 23 · 11:00pm CT · Rose Bowl · Pasadena, CA11:00pm CT
MSU
Michigan State Spartans · Big Ten · 2-1 · Away
FPI 4.2 · rank 56 · No CFBD row
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UCLA
UCLA Bruins · Big Ten · 3-0 · Home
FPI 7.4 · rank 40 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
UCLA —
MSU —
MSU —
Model
UCLA -5.7
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UCLA
UCLA — · MSU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- UCLA rating 7.4, MSU rating 4.2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to UCLA.
- Predicted margin is UCLA by 5.7.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 5.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.2; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is UCLA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
MSU
- L@ ND 27-10 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs EMU 35-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs TOL 30-20 · Fri, Sep 4
- Wvs MD 38-28 · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ IOWA 20-17 · Sat, Nov 22
UCLA
- Wvs PUR 52-38 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs SDSU 28-10 · Sat, Sep 12
- W@ CAL 45-24 · Sat, Sep 5
- L@ USC 29-10 · Sat, Nov 29
- Lvs WASH 48-14 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 5.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.2; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.