Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 30 · 11:00pm CT · Kinnick Stadium · Iowa City, IA11:00pm CT
WIS
Wisconsin Badgers · Big Ten · 2-1 · Away
FPI 4.8 · rank 53 · No CFBD row
#17 IOWA
Iowa Hawkeyes · Big Ten · 3-0 · Home
FPI 12.1 · rank 28 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
IOWA
WIS
Model
IOWA -9.8
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
IOWA
IOWA · WIS
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • IOWA rating 12.1, WIS rating 4.8.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to IOWA.
  • Predicted margin is IOWA by 9.8.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 9.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 7.3; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is IOWA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

WIS

FPI 4.8 · rank 53 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs EMU 54-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs WIU 36-9 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Lvs ND 41-13 · Sun, Sep 6
  4. L@ MINN 17-7 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Wvs ILL 27-10 · Sat, Nov 22

IOWA

FPI 12.1 · rank 28 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs UNI 55-0 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs ISU 16-13 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs NIU 40-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs VAN 34-27 · Wed, Dec 31
  5. W@ NEB 40-16 · Fri, Nov 28

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 9.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 7.3; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.