Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 30 · 11:00pm CT · SECU Stadium · College Park, MD11:00pm CT
ILL
Illinois Fighting Illini · Big Ten · 2-1 · Away
FPI 6 · rank 44 · No CFBD row
MD
Maryland Terrapins · Big Ten · 2-1 · Home
FPI 5.5 · rank 48 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
MD
ILL
Model
MD -2
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MD
MD · ILL
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • MD rating 5.5, ILL rating 6.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to MD.
  • Predicted margin is MD by 2.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -0.5; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is MD, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

ILL

FPI 6 · rank 44 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs SIU 48-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs DUKE 31-27 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs UAB 42-23 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. Wvs TENN 30-28 · Tue, Dec 30
  5. Wvs NU 20-13 · Sat, Nov 29

MD

FPI 5.5 · rank 48 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs VT 35-26 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ CONN 38-14 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs HAMP 62-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs MSU 38-28 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs MICH 45-20 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -0.5; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.