Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 30 · 11:00pm CT · Autzen Stadium · Eugene, OR11:00pm CT
NU
Northwestern Wildcats · Big Ten · 2-0 · Away
FPI 9.3 · rank 33 · No CFBD row
#20 ORE
Oregon Ducks · Big Ten · 2-1 · Home
FPI 19.2 · rank 9 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
ORE
NU
Model
ORE -12.4
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ORE
ORE · NU
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • ORE rating 19.2, NU rating 9.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to ORE.
  • Predicted margin is ORE by 12.4.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 12.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 9.9; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is ORE, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

NU

FPI 9.3 · rank 33 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs COLO 41-7 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs SDST 34-18 · Sat, Sep 5
  3. Wvs CMU 34-7 · Fri, Dec 26
  4. L@ ILL 20-13 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Wvs MINN 38-35 · Sat, Nov 22

ORE

FPI 19.2 · rank 9 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs PRST 84-0 · Fri, Sep 18
  2. L@ OKST 39-31 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs BOIS 34-27 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs IU 56-22 · Fri, Jan 9
  5. Wvs TTU 23-0 · Thu, Jan 1

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 12.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 9.9; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.