Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 30 · 11:00pm CT · Rose Bowl · Pasadena, CA11:00pm CT
NEV
Nevada Wolf Pack · Mountain West · 1-2 · Away
FPI -8.5 · rank 105 · No CFBD row
UCLA
UCLA Bruins · Big Ten · 3-0 · Home
FPI 7.4 · rank 40 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
UCLA
NEV
Model
UCLA -18.4
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UCLA
UCLA · NEV
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • UCLA rating 7.4, NEV rating -8.5.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to UCLA.
  • Predicted margin is UCLA by 18.4.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 18.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 15.9; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is UCLA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

NEV

FPI -8.5 · rank 105 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ MTSU 27-20 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs MTST 20-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs WKU 49-14 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs UNLV 42-17 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. W@ WYO 13-7 · Sat, Nov 22

UCLA

FPI 7.4 · rank 40 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs PUR 52-38 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs SDSU 28-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. W@ CAL 45-24 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ USC 29-10 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs WASH 48-14 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 18.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 15.9; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.