Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 30 · 11:00pm CT · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum · Los Angeles, CA11:00pm CT
#7 OSU
Ohio State Buckeyes · Big Ten · 2-1 · Away
FPI 28.1 · rank 1 · No CFBD row
-7.5 (-112)
-325
#12 USC
USC Trojans · Big Ten · 4-0 · Home
FPI 15.5 · rank 18 · No CFBD row
+7.5 (-108)
+260
Market vs model
Spread
OSU -7.5
USC +7.5 (-108)
OSU -7.5 (-112)
OSU -7.5 (-112)
Model
OSU -10.2
Edge 2.7 pts OSU
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
OSU
USC +260 · OSU -325
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- USC rating 15.5, OSU rating 28.1.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to USC.
- Predicted margin is OSU by 10.2.
- Edge is 2.7 points toward OSU.
- Edge 2.7 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -12.7; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is OSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
OSU
- Wvs KENT 59-3 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ TEX 24-23 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs BALL 56-3 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs MIA 24-14 · Wed, Dec 31
- Lvs IU 13-10 · Sat, Dec 6
USC
- W@ RUTG 42-35 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs UL 49-30 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs FRES 39-0 · Fri, Sep 4
- Wvs SJSU 42-26 · Sat, Aug 29
- Lvs TCU 30-27 OT · Tue, Dec 30
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.