Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 6 · 7:00pm CT · Gies Memorial Stadium · Champaign, IL · FOX7:00pm CT
NEB
Nebraska Cornhuskers · Big Ten · 3-0 · Away
FPI 14.2 · rank 21 · No CFBD row
ILL
Illinois Fighting Illini · Big Ten · 2-1 · Home
FPI 6 · rank 44 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
ILL
NEB
Model
NEB -5.7
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
NEB
ILL · NEB
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • ILL rating 6, NEB rating 14.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to ILL.
  • Predicted margin is NEB by 5.7.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 5.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -8.2; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is NEB, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

NEB

FPI 14.2 · rank 21 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs UND 34-7 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs BGSU 56-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs OHIO 49-21 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs UTAH 44-22 · Wed, Dec 31
  5. Lvs IOWA 40-16 · Fri, Nov 28

ILL

FPI 6 · rank 44 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs SIU 48-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs DUKE 31-27 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs UAB 42-23 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. Wvs TENN 30-28 · Tue, Dec 30
  5. Wvs NU 20-13 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 5.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -8.2; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.