Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 6 · 11:00pm CT · Ohio Stadium · Columbus, OH11:00pm CT
#20 ORE
Oregon Ducks · Big Ten · 2-1 · Away
FPI 19.2 · rank 9 · No CFBD row
+6 (-110)
+210
#7 OSU
Ohio State Buckeyes · Big Ten · 2-1 · Home
FPI 28.1 · rank 1 · No CFBD row
-6 (-110)
-258

Market vs model

Spread
OSU -6
OSU -6 (-110)
ORE +6 (-110)
Model
OSU -11.4
Edge 5.4 pts OSU
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
OSU
OSU -258 · ORE +210
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
CallStrong

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • OSU rating 28.1, ORE rating 19.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to OSU.
  • Predicted margin is OSU by 11.4.
  • Edge is 5.4 points toward OSU.
  • Edge 5.4 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 8.9; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is OSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

ORE

FPI 19.2 · rank 9 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs PRST 84-0 · Fri, Sep 18
  2. L@ OKST 39-31 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs BOIS 34-27 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs IU 56-22 · Fri, Jan 9
  5. Wvs TTU 23-0 · Thu, Jan 1

OSU

FPI 28.1 · rank 1 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs KENT 59-3 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ TEX 24-23 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs BALL 56-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs MIA 24-14 · Wed, Dec 31
  5. Lvs IU 13-10 · Sat, Dec 6

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.