Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 6 · 11:00pm CT · Camp Randall Stadium · Madison, WI11:00pm CT
RUTG
Rutgers Scarlet Knights · Big Ten · 0-3 · Away
FPI -5.6 · rank 90 · No CFBD row
WIS
Wisconsin Badgers · Big Ten · 2-1 · Home
FPI 4.8 · rank 53 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
WIS
RUTG
Model
WIS -12.9
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
WIS
WIS · RUTG
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • WIS rating 4.8, RUTG rating -5.6.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to WIS.
  • Predicted margin is WIS by 12.9.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 12.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 10.4; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is WIS, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

RUTG

FPI -5.6 · rank 90 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs USC 42-35 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ BC 28-21 · Fri, Sep 11
  3. Lvs MASS 37-21 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. Lvs PSU 40-36 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ OSU 42-9 · Sat, Nov 22

WIS

FPI 4.8 · rank 53 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs EMU 54-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs WIU 36-9 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Lvs ND 41-13 · Sun, Sep 6
  4. L@ MINN 17-7 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Wvs ILL 27-10 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 12.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 10.4; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.