Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 13 · 11:00pm CT · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) · Bloomington, IN11:00pm CT
#12 USC
USC Trojans · Big Ten · 4-0 · Away
FPI 15.5 · rank 18 · No CFBD row
+10 (-110)
+350
#5 IU
Indiana Hoosiers · Big Ten · 3-0 · Home
FPI 24.6 · rank 5 · No CFBD row
-10 (-110)
-455
Market vs model
Spread
IU -10
IU -10 (-110)
USC +10 (-110)
USC +10 (-110)
Model
IU -11.7
Edge 1.7 pts IU
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
IU
IU -455 · USC +350
Total 58.5 — no O/U pick
Total 58.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- IU rating 24.6, USC rating 15.5.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to IU.
- Predicted margin is IU by 11.7.
- Edge is 1.7 points toward IU.
- Edge 1.7 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 9.2; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is IU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
USC
- W@ RUTG 42-35 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs UL 49-30 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs FRES 39-0 · Fri, Sep 4
- Wvs SJSU 42-26 · Sat, Aug 29
- Lvs TCU 30-27 OT · Tue, Dec 30
IU
- Wvs WKU 38-0 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs HOW 55-0 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs UNT 52-16 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs MIA 27-21 · Mon, Jan 19
- Wvs ORE 56-22 · Fri, Jan 9
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.