Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 13 · 11:00pm CT · Kinnick Stadium · Iowa City, IA11:00pm CT
PUR
Purdue Boilermakers · Big Ten · 1-2 · Away
FPI -1.6 · rank 75 · No CFBD row
#17 IOWA
Iowa Hawkeyes · Big Ten · 3-0 · Home
FPI 12.1 · rank 28 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
IOWA
PUR
Model
IOWA -16.2
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
IOWA
IOWA · PUR
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • IOWA rating 12.1, PUR rating -1.6.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to IOWA.
  • Predicted margin is IOWA by 16.2.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 16.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 13.7; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is IOWA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

PUR

FPI -1.6 · rank 75 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ UCLA 52-38 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs WAKE 38-36 2OT · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs INST 44-19 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. Lvs IU 56-3 · Fri, Nov 28
  5. L@ WASH 49-13 · Sat, Nov 15

IOWA

FPI 12.1 · rank 28 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs UNI 55-0 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs ISU 16-13 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs NIU 40-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs VAN 34-27 · Wed, Dec 31
  5. W@ NEB 40-16 · Fri, Nov 28

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 16.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 13.7; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.