Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 13 · 11:00pm CT · Spartan Stadium · East Lansing, MI11:00pm CT
WASH
Washington Huskies · Big Ten · 3-0 · Away
FPI 5.8 · rank 47 · No CFBD row
MSU
Michigan State Spartans · Big Ten · 2-1 · Home
FPI 4.2 · rank 56 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
MSU
WASH
Model
MSU -0.9
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
MSU · WASH
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • MSU rating 4.2, WASH rating 5.8.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to MSU.
  • Predicted margin is MSU by 0.9.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 0.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap -1.6; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

WASH

FPI 5.8 · rank 47 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs EWU 48-16 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs USU 16-14 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs WSU 24-10 · Sun, Sep 6
  4. Wvs BOIS 38-10 · Sat, Dec 13
  5. Lvs ORE 26-14 · Sat, Nov 29

MSU

FPI 4.2 · rank 56 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ ND 27-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs EMU 35-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs TOL 30-20 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. Wvs MD 38-28 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ IOWA 20-17 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 0.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap -1.6; home field +2.5).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.