Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 13 · 11:00pm CT · Ohio Stadium · Columbus, OH11:00pm CT
NU
Northwestern Wildcats · Big Ten · 2-0 · Away
FPI 9.3 · rank 33 · No CFBD row
#7 OSU
Ohio State Buckeyes · Big Ten · 2-1 · Home
FPI 28.1 · rank 1 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
OSU
NU
Model
OSU -21.3
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
OSU
OSU · NU
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • OSU rating 28.1, NU rating 9.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to OSU.
  • Predicted margin is OSU by 21.3.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 21.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 18.8; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is OSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

NU

FPI 9.3 · rank 33 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs COLO 41-7 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs SDST 34-18 · Sat, Sep 5
  3. Wvs CMU 34-7 · Fri, Dec 26
  4. L@ ILL 20-13 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Wvs MINN 38-35 · Sat, Nov 22

OSU

FPI 28.1 · rank 1 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs KENT 59-3 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ TEX 24-23 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs BALL 56-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs MIA 24-14 · Wed, Dec 31
  5. Lvs IU 13-10 · Sat, Dec 6

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 21.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 18.8; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.