Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 13 · 11:00pm CT · Autzen Stadium · Eugene, OR11:00pm CT
#18 MICH
Michigan Wolverines · Big Ten · 3-0 · Away
FPI 14.9 · rank 20 · No CFBD row
+13.5 (-112)
+440
#20 ORE
Oregon Ducks · Big Ten · 2-1 · Home
FPI 19.2 · rank 9 · No CFBD row
-13.5 (-108)
-600

Market vs model

Spread
ORE -13.5
ORE -13.5 (-108)
MICH +13.5 (-112)
Model
ORE -6.8
Edge 6.7 pts MICH
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ORE
ORE -600 · MICH +440
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
CallStrong

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • ORE rating 19.2, MICH rating 14.9.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to ORE.
  • Predicted margin is ORE by 6.8.
  • Edge is 6.7 points toward MICH.
  • Edge 6.7 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 4.3; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is ORE, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

MICH

FPI 14.9 · rank 20 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs UTEP 52-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs OU 17-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs WMU 13-12 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs TEX 41-27 · Wed, Dec 31
  5. Lvs OSU 27-9 · Sat, Nov 29

ORE

FPI 19.2 · rank 9 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs PRST 84-0 · Fri, Sep 18
  2. L@ OKST 39-31 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs BOIS 34-27 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs IU 56-22 · Fri, Jan 9
  5. Wvs TTU 23-0 · Thu, Jan 1

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.