Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 20 · 11:00pm CT · Gies Memorial Stadium · Champaign, IL11:00pm CT
#17 IOWA
Iowa Hawkeyes · Big Ten · 3-0 · Away
FPI 12.1 · rank 28 · No CFBD row
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ILL
Illinois Fighting Illini · Big Ten · 2-1 · Home
FPI 6 · rank 44 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
ILL —
IOWA —
IOWA —
Model
IOWA -3.6
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
IOWA
ILL — · IOWA —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- ILL rating 6, IOWA rating 12.1.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to ILL.
- Predicted margin is IOWA by 3.6.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 3.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -6.1; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is IOWA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
IOWA
- Wvs UNI 55-0 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs ISU 16-13 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs NIU 40-0 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs VAN 34-27 · Wed, Dec 31
- W@ NEB 40-16 · Fri, Nov 28
ILL
- Wvs SIU 48-10 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs DUKE 31-27 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs UAB 42-23 · Thu, Sep 3
- Wvs TENN 30-28 · Tue, Dec 30
- Wvs NU 20-13 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 3.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -6.1; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.