Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 20 · 11:00pm CT · Michigan Stadium · Ann Arbor, MI11:00pm CT
UCLA
UCLA Bruins · Big Ten · 3-0 · Away
FPI 7.4 · rank 40 · No CFBD row
#18 MICH
Michigan Wolverines · Big Ten · 3-0 · Home
FPI 14.9 · rank 20 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
MICH
UCLA
Model
MICH -10
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MICH
MICH · UCLA
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • MICH rating 14.9, UCLA rating 7.4.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to MICH.
  • Predicted margin is MICH by 10.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 10. No market line yet. (Rating gap 7.5; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is MICH, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

UCLA

FPI 7.4 · rank 40 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs PUR 52-38 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs SDSU 28-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. W@ CAL 45-24 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ USC 29-10 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs WASH 48-14 · Sat, Nov 22

MICH

FPI 14.9 · rank 20 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs UTEP 52-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs OU 17-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs WMU 13-12 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs TEX 41-27 · Wed, Dec 31
  5. Lvs OSU 27-9 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 10. No market line yet. (Rating gap 7.5; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.