Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 20 · 11:00pm CT · Beaver Stadium · University Park, PA11:00pm CT
RUTG
Rutgers Scarlet Knights · Big Ten · 0-3 · Away
FPI -5.6 · rank 90 · No CFBD row
#13 PSU
Penn State Nittany Lions · Big Ten · 3-0 · Home
FPI 18.2 · rank 12 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
PSU
RUTG
Model
PSU -26.3
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
PSU
PSU · RUTG
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • PSU rating 18.2, RUTG rating -5.6.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to PSU.
  • Predicted margin is PSU by 26.3.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 26.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 23.8; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is PSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

RUTG

FPI -5.6 · rank 90 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs USC 42-35 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ BC 28-21 · Fri, Sep 11
  3. Lvs MASS 37-21 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. Lvs PSU 40-36 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ OSU 42-9 · Sat, Nov 22

PSU

FPI 18.2 · rank 12 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs BUFF 55-13 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ TEM 27-9 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs MRSH 45-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs CLEM 22-10 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. W@ RUTG 40-36 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 26.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 23.8; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.