Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 20 · 11:00pm CT · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum · Los Angeles, CA11:00pm CT
MD
Maryland Terrapins · Big Ten · 2-1 · Away
FPI 5.5 · rank 48 · No CFBD row
#12 USC
USC Trojans · Big Ten · 4-0 · Home
FPI 15.5 · rank 18 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
USC
MD
Model
USC -12.5
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
USC
USC · MD
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • USC rating 15.5, MD rating 5.5.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to USC.
  • Predicted margin is USC by 12.5.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 12.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 10; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is USC, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

MD

FPI 5.5 · rank 48 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs VT 35-26 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ CONN 38-14 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs HAMP 62-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs MSU 38-28 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs MICH 45-20 · Sat, Nov 22

USC

FPI 15.5 · rank 18 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ RUTG 42-35 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs UL 49-30 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs FRES 39-0 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. Wvs SJSU 42-26 · Sat, Aug 29
  5. Lvs TCU 30-27 OT · Tue, Dec 30

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 12.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 10; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.