Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 27 · 11:00pm CT · Ryan Field · Evanston, IL11:00pm CT
ILL
Illinois Fighting Illini · Big Ten · 2-1 · Away
FPI 6 · rank 44 · No CFBD row
-3.5 (-112)
-175
NU
Northwestern Wildcats · Big Ten · 2-0 · Home
FPI 9.3 · rank 33 · No CFBD row
+3.5 (-108)
+145
Market vs model
Spread
ILL -3.5
NU +3.5 (-108)
ILL -3.5 (-112)
ILL -3.5 (-112)
Model
NU -5.8
Edge 9.3 pts NU
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
NU
NU +145 · ILL -175
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
CallStrong
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- NU rating 9.3, ILL rating 6.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to NU.
- Predicted margin is NU by 5.8.
- Edge is 9.3 points toward NU.
- Edge 9.3 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 3.3; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is NU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
ILL
- Wvs SIU 48-10 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs DUKE 31-27 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs UAB 42-23 · Thu, Sep 3
- Wvs TENN 30-28 · Tue, Dec 30
- Wvs NU 20-13 · Sat, Nov 29
NU
- Wvs COLO 41-7 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs SDST 34-18 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs CMU 34-7 · Fri, Dec 26
- L@ ILL 20-13 · Sat, Nov 29
- Wvs MINN 38-35 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.