Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Fri, Nov 27 · 11:00pm CT · SECU Stadium · College Park, MD11:00pm CT
#13 PSU
Penn State Nittany Lions · Big Ten · 3-0 · Away
FPI 18.2 · rank 12 · No CFBD row
—
—
MD
Maryland Terrapins · Big Ten · 2-1 · Home
FPI 5.5 · rank 48 · No CFBD row
—
—

Market vs model

Spread
—
MD —
PSU —
Model
PSU -10.2
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
PSU
MD — · PSU —
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • MD rating 5.5, PSU rating 18.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to MD.
  • Predicted margin is PSU by 10.2.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 10.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -12.7; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is PSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

PSU

FPI 18.2 · rank 12 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs BUFF 55-13 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ TEM 27-9 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs MRSH 45-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs CLEM 22-10 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. W@ RUTG 40-36 · Sat, Nov 29

MD

FPI 5.5 · rank 48 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs VT 35-26 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ CONN 38-14 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs HAMP 62-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs MSU 38-28 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs MICH 45-20 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 10.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -12.7; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML