Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Nov 28 · 11:00am CT · Ohio Stadium · Columbus, OH · FOX11:00am CT
#18 MICH
Michigan Wolverines · Big Ten · 3-0 · Away
FPI 14.9 · rank 20 · No CFBD row
+13.5 (-110)
+425
#7 OSU
Ohio State Buckeyes · Big Ten · 2-1 · Home
FPI 28.1 · rank 1 · No CFBD row
-13.5 (-110)
-575

Market vs model

Spread
OSU -13.5
OSU -13.5 (-110)
MICH +13.5 (-110)
Model
OSU -15.7
Edge 2.2 pts OSU
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
OSU
OSU -575 · MICH +425
Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • OSU rating 28.1, MICH rating 14.9.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to OSU.
  • Predicted margin is OSU by 15.7.
  • Edge is 2.2 points toward OSU.
  • Edge 2.2 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 13.2; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is OSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

MICH

FPI 14.9 · rank 20 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs UTEP 52-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs OU 17-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs WMU 13-12 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs TEX 41-27 · Wed, Dec 31
  5. Lvs OSU 27-9 · Sat, Nov 29

OSU

FPI 28.1 · rank 1 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs KENT 59-3 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ TEX 24-23 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs BALL 56-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs MIA 24-14 · Wed, Dec 31
  5. Lvs IU 13-10 · Sat, Dec 6

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.