Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 27 · 11:00pm CT · SHI Stadium · Piscataway, NJ11:00pm CT
MSU
Michigan State Spartans · Big Ten · 2-1 · Away
FPI 4.2 · rank 56 · No CFBD row
RUTG
Rutgers Scarlet Knights · Big Ten · 0-3 · Home
FPI -5.6 · rank 90 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
RUTG
MSU
Model
MSU -7.3
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MSU
RUTG · MSU
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • RUTG rating -5.6, MSU rating 4.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to RUTG.
  • Predicted margin is MSU by 7.3.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 7.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -9.8; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is MSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

MSU

FPI 4.2 · rank 56 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ ND 27-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs EMU 35-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs TOL 30-20 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. Wvs MD 38-28 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ IOWA 20-17 · Sat, Nov 22

RUTG

FPI -5.6 · rank 90 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs USC 42-35 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ BC 28-21 · Fri, Sep 11
  3. Lvs MASS 37-21 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. Lvs PSU 40-36 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ OSU 42-9 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 7.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -9.8; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.