Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 27 · 11:00pm CT · Rose Bowl · Pasadena, CA11:00pm CT
#12 USC
USC Trojans · Big Ten · 4-0 · Away
FPI 15.5 · rank 18 · No CFBD row
-10.5 (-112)
-470
UCLA
UCLA Bruins · Big Ten · 3-0 · Home
FPI 7.4 · rank 40 · No CFBD row
+10.5 (-108)
+360
Market vs model
Spread
USC -10.5
UCLA +10.5 (-108)
USC -10.5 (-112)
USC -10.5 (-112)
Model
USC -5.5
Edge 5 pts UCLA
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
USC
UCLA +360 · USC -470
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
CallPlay
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- UCLA rating 7.4, USC rating 15.5.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to UCLA.
- Predicted margin is USC by 5.5.
- Edge is 5 points toward UCLA.
- Edge 5 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -8; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is USC, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
USC
- W@ RUTG 42-35 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs UL 49-30 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs FRES 39-0 · Fri, Sep 4
- Wvs SJSU 42-26 · Sat, Aug 29
- Lvs TCU 30-27 OT · Tue, Dec 30
UCLA
- Wvs PUR 52-38 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs SDSU 28-10 · Sat, Sep 12
- W@ CAL 45-24 · Sat, Sep 5
- L@ USC 29-10 · Sat, Nov 29
- Lvs WASH 48-14 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.