Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 2:30pm CT · Notre Dame Stadium · Notre Dame, IN · NBCFinal
RICE
Rice Owls · American · 1-1 · Away
FPI -13.5 · rank 122 · No CFBD row
+44.5 (-108)
—
#3 ND
Notre Dame Fighting Irish · Independents · 2-0 · Home
FPI 26.8 · rank 4 · No CFBD row
-44.5 (-112)
—
Market vs model
Spread
ND -44.5
ND -44.5 (-112)
RICE +44.5 (-108)
RICE +44.5 (-108)
Model
ND -42.8
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ND
ND — · RICE —
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- ND rating 26.8, RICE rating -13.5.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to ND.
- Predicted margin is ND by 42.8.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 42.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 40.3; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is ND, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
RICE
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
ND
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 42.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 40.3; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.