Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Oct 31 · 11:00am CT · Gillette Stadium · Foxborough, MA · Neutral11:00am CT
#3 ND
Notre Dame Fighting Irish · Independents · 3-0 · Away
FPI 26.8 · rank 4 · No CFBD row
NAVY
Navy Midshipmen · American · 1-1
FPI -5.3 · rank 88 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
NAVY
ND
Model
ND -32.1
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ND
NAVY · ND
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • NAVY rating -5.3, ND rating 26.8.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Neutral site, so home field is 0.
  • Predicted margin is ND by 32.1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 32.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -32.1; neutral site (no home field)).
  • Moneyline ticket is ND, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

ND

FPI 26.8 · rank 4 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs MSU 27-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs RICE 52-0 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs WIS 41-13 · Sun, Sep 6
  4. W@ STAN 49-20 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Wvs SYR 70-7 · Sat, Nov 22

NAVY

FPI -5.3 · rank 88 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ FAU 38-30 · Sat, Sep 12
  2. Wvs TOW 42-15 · Sat, Sep 5
  3. Wvs CIN 35-13 · Fri, Jan 2
  4. Wvs ARMY 17-16 · Sat, Dec 13
  5. W@ MEM 28-17 · Thu, Nov 27

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 32.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -32.1; neutral site (no home field)).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.