Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 5 · 5:00pm CT · Canvas Stadium · Fort Collins, CO · USA NetFinal
WYO
Wyoming Cowboys · Mountain West · 0-1 · Away
FPI -19.7 · rank 133 · No CFBD row
+2.5 (-112)
+110
CSU
Colorado State Rams · Pac-12 · 1-0 · Home
FPI -6.1 · rank 96 · No CFBD row
-2.5 (-108)
-130

Market vs model

Spread
CSU -2.5
CSU -2.5 (-108)
WYO +2.5 (-112)
Model
CSU -16
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
CSU
CSU -130 · WYO +110
Total 45.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • CSU rating -6.1, WYO rating -19.7.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to CSU.
  • Predicted margin is CSU by 16.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 16. No market line yet. (Rating gap 13.5; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is CSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

WYO

FPI -19.7 · rank 133 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

CSU

FPI -6.1 · rank 96 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 16. No market line yet. (Rating gap 13.5; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.