Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 5 · 8:30pm CT · Snapdragon Stadium · San Diego, CA · USA NetFinal
PRST
Portland State Vikings · 0-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+38.5 (-115)
—
SDSU
San Diego State Aztecs · Pac-12 · 1-0 · Home
FPI -3.3 · rank 81 · No CFBD row
-38.5 (-105)
—
Market vs model
Spread
SDSU -38.5
SDSU -38.5 (-105)
PRST +38.5 (-115)
PRST +38.5 (-115)
Model
SDSU -11.2
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
SDSU
SDSU — · PRST —
Total 61.5 — no O/U pick
Total 61.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- SDSU rating -3.3, PRST rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to SDSU.
- Predicted margin is SDSU by 11.2.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 11.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 8.7; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is SDSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
PRST
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
SDSU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 11.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 8.7; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.