Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 5 · 6:00pm CT · Maverik Stadium · Logan, UT · CBSSNFinal
IDST
Idaho State Bengals · 2-0 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+15.5 (-110)
+490
USU
Utah State Aggies · Pac-12 · 0-1 · Home
FPI -8.8 · rank 108 · No CFBD row
-15.5 (-110)
-675
Market vs model
Spread
USU -15.5
USU -15.5 (-110)
IDST +15.5 (-110)
IDST +15.5 (-110)
Model
USU -5.7
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
USU
USU -675 · IDST +490
Total 59.5 — no O/U pick
Total 59.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML loss
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- USU rating -8.8, IDST rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to USU.
- Predicted margin is USU by 5.7.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 5.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.2; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is USU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
IDST
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
USU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 5.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.2; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.