Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 5:00pm CT · Albertsons Stadium · Boise, ID · USA NetFinal
MEM
Memphis Tigers · American · 2-1 · Away
FPI -0.8 · rank 71 · No CFBD row
+9.5 (-112)
+285
BOIS
Boise State Broncos · Pac-12 · 1-1 · Home
FPI 8.1 · rank 37 · No CFBD row
-9.5 (-108)
-360
Market vs model
Spread
BOIS -9.5
BOIS -9.5 (-108)
MEM +9.5 (-112)
MEM +9.5 (-112)
Model
BOIS -11.4
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
BOIS
BOIS -360 · MEM +285
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- BOIS rating 8.1, MEM rating -0.8.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to BOIS.
- Predicted margin is BOIS by 11.4.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 11.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 8.9; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is BOIS, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
MEM
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
BOIS
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 11.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 8.9; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.