Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 6:00pm CT · Canvas Stadium · Fort Collins, CO · CBSSNFinal
SUU
Southern Utah Thunderbirds · 1-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+19.5 (-108)
+800
CSU
Colorado State Rams · Pac-12 · 2-0 · Home
FPI -6.1 · rank 96 · No CFBD row
-19.5 (-112)
-1350
Market vs model
Spread
CSU -19.5
CSU -19.5 (-112)
SUU +19.5 (-108)
SUU +19.5 (-108)
Model
CSU -8.4
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
CSU
CSU -1350 · SUU +800
Total 57.5 — no O/U pick
Total 57.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- CSU rating -6.1, SUU rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to CSU.
- Predicted margin is CSU by 8.4.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 8.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 5.9; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is CSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
SUU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
CSU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 8.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 5.9; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.