Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 9:30pm CT · Valley Children's Stadium · Fresno, CA · CBSSNFinal
SAC
Sacramento State Hornets · MAC · 1-2 · Away
FPI -25 · rank 138 · No CFBD row
+17.5 (-110)
+625
FRES
Fresno State Bulldogs · Pac-12 · 1-1 · Home
FPI -0.5 · rank 69 · No CFBD row
-17.5 (-110)
-950
Market vs model
Spread
FRES -17.5
FRES -17.5 (-110)
SAC +17.5 (-110)
SAC +17.5 (-110)
Model
FRES -27
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
FRES
FRES -950 · SAC +625
Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- FRES rating -0.5, SAC rating -25.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to FRES.
- Predicted margin is FRES by 27.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 27. No market line yet. (Rating gap 24.5; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is FRES, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
SAC
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
FRES
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 27. No market line yet. (Rating gap 24.5; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.