Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 9:00pm CT · Albertsons Stadium · Boise, ID · CBSSNFinal
SDAK
South Dakota Coyotes · 3-1 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+28.5 (-112)
+1400
BOIS
Boise State Broncos · Pac-12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI 8.1 · rank 37 · No CFBD row
-28.5 (-108)
-3200
Market vs model
Spread
BOIS -28.5
BOIS -28.5 (-108)
SDAK +28.5 (-112)
SDAK +28.5 (-112)
Model
BOIS -22.6
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
BOIS
BOIS -3200 · SDAK +1400
Total 61.5 — no O/U pick
Total 61.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- BOIS rating 8.1, SDAK rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to BOIS.
- Predicted margin is BOIS by 22.6.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 22.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 20.1; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is BOIS, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
SDAK
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
BOIS
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 22.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 20.1; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.