Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 10:00pm CT · Reser Stadium · Corvallis, OR · USA NetFinal
MONT
Montana Grizzlies · 3-1 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+17.5 (-115)
+575
ORST
Oregon State Beavers · Pac-12 · 1-2 · Home
FPI -2.2 · rank 78 · No CFBD row
-17.5 (-105)
-850
Market vs model
Spread
ORST -17.5
ORST -17.5 (-105)
MONT +17.5 (-115)
MONT +17.5 (-115)
Model
ORST -12.3
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ORST
ORST -850 · MONT +575
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- ORST rating -2.2, MONT rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to ORST.
- Predicted margin is ORST by 12.3.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 12.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 9.8; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is ORST, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
MONT
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
ORST
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 12.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 9.8; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.