Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sat, Sep 19 · 9:00pm CT · Snapdragon Stadium · San Diego, CA · CWFinal
JMU
James Madison Dukes · Sun Belt · 3-0 · Away
FPI 3.2 · rank 59 · No CFBD row
+3 (-115)
+120
SDSU
San Diego State Aztecs · Pac-12 · 1-2 · Home
FPI -3.3 · rank 81 · No CFBD row
-3 (-105)
-142

Market vs model

Spread
SDSU -3
SDSU -3 (-105)
JMU +3 (-115)
Model
JMU -4
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
JMU
SDSU -142 · JMU +120
Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • SDSU rating -3.3, JMU rating 3.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to SDSU.
  • Predicted margin is JMU by 4.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 4. No market line yet. (Rating gap -6.5; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is JMU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

JMU

FPI 3.2 · rank 59 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

SDSU

FPI -3.3 · rank 81 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 4. No market line yet. (Rating gap -6.5; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML