Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 10:00pm CT · CEFCU Stadium · San Jose, CA · FS1Final
FRES
Fresno State Bulldogs · Pac-12 · 2-1 · Away
FPI -0.5 · rank 69 · No CFBD row
-4 (-112)
-192
SJSU
San José State Spartans · Mountain West · 2-2 · Home
FPI -13.2 · rank 119 · No CFBD row
+4 (-108)
+160
Market vs model
Spread
FRES -4
SJSU +4 (-108)
FRES -4 (-112)
FRES -4 (-112)
Model
FRES -10.1
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
FRES
SJSU +160 · FRES -192
Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- SJSU rating -13.2, FRES rating -0.5.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to SJSU.
- Predicted margin is FRES by 10.1.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 10.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -12.6; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is FRES, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
FRES
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
SJSU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 10.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -12.6; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.