Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 26 · 9:00pm CT · Valley Children's Stadium · Fresno, CA · CW9:00pm CT
RICE
Rice Owls · American · 1-2 · Away
FPI -13.5 · rank 122 · No CFBD row
+13.5 (-105)
+410
FRES
Fresno State Bulldogs · Pac-12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI -0.5 · rank 69 · No CFBD row
-13.5 (-115)
-550
Market vs model
Spread
FRES -13.5
FRES -13.5 (-115)
RICE +13.5 (-105)
RICE +13.5 (-105)
Model
FRES -15.5
Edge 2 pts FRES
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
FRES
FRES -550 · RICE +410
Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- FRES rating -0.5, RICE rating -13.5.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to FRES.
- Predicted margin is FRES by 15.5.
- Edge is 2 points toward FRES.
- Edge 2 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 13; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is FRES, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
RICE
- Lvs WMU 28-21 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ ND 52-0 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs HCU 31-3 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs TXST 41-10 · Fri, Jan 2
- L@ USF 52-3 · Sat, Nov 29
FRES
- W@ SJSU 26-10 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs SAC 49-3 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ USC 39-0 · Fri, Sep 4
- Wvs M-OH 18-3 · Sat, Dec 27
- W@ SJSU 41-14 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.