Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 26 · 6:30pm CT · Maverik Stadium · Logan, UT · CBSSN6:30pm CT
TROY
Troy Trojans · Sun Belt · 2-1 · Away
FPI -6 · rank 95 · No CFBD row
+3 (-110)
+130
USU
Utah State Aggies · Pac-12 · 0-3 · Home
FPI -8.8 · rank 108 · No CFBD row
-3 (-110)
-155
Market vs model
Spread
USU -3
USU -3 (-110)
TROY +3 (-110)
TROY +3 (-110)
Model
TROY -0.3
Edge 3.3 pts TROY
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
USU -155 · TROY +130
Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
CallPlay
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- USU rating -8.8, TROY rating -6.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to USU.
- Predicted margin is TROY by 0.3.
- Edge is 3.3 points toward TROY.
- Edge 3.3 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -2.8; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
TROY
- L@ MIZ 27-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs ALST 34-17 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs SHSU 24-21 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs JVST 17-13 · Tue, Dec 16
- L@ JMU 31-14 · Fri, Dec 5
USU
- L@ UTAH 33-0 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ WASH 16-14 · Sat, Sep 12
- Lvs IDST 29-17 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs WSU 34-21 · Mon, Dec 22
- Lvs BOIS 25-24 · Fri, Nov 28
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.