Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 26 · 8:00pm CT · Sun Bowl · El Paso, TX · MW+8:00pm CT
ORST
Oregon State Beavers · Pac-12 · 1-2 · Away
FPI -2.2 · rank 78 · No CFBD row
-10.5 (-108)
-440
UTEP
UTEP Miners · Mountain West · 1-2 · Home
FPI -18.3 · rank 131 · No CFBD row
+10.5 (-112)
+340
Market vs model
Spread
ORST -10.5
UTEP +10.5 (-112)
ORST -10.5 (-108)
ORST -10.5 (-108)
Model
ORST -13.6
Edge 3.1 pts ORST
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ORST
UTEP +340 · ORST -440
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
CallPlay
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- UTEP rating -18.3, ORST rating -2.2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to UTEP.
- Predicted margin is ORST by 13.6.
- Edge is 3.1 points toward ORST.
- Edge 3.1 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -16.1; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is ORST, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
ORST
- Wvs MONT 52-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs TTU 35-24 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ HOU 33-20 · Sat, Sep 5
- L@ WSU 32-8 · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ TLSA 31-14 · Sat, Nov 15
UTEP
- L@ MICH 52-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs TXSO 51-10 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ OU 51-0 · Fri, Sep 4
- L@ DEL 61-31 · Sat, Nov 29
- Lvs NMSU 34-31 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.