Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 26 · 11:00am CT · Alamodome · San Antonio, TX · ESPNU · Indoor11:00am CT
CSU
Colorado State Rams · Pac-12 · 2-1 · Away
FPI -6.1 · rank 96 · No CFBD row
+13.5 (-112)
+410
UTSA
UTSA Roadrunners · American · 2-1 · Home
FPI -1.7 · rank 76 · No CFBD row
-13.5 (-108)
-550

Market vs model

Spread
UTSA -13.5
UTSA -13.5 (-108)
CSU +13.5 (-112)
Model
UTSA -7
Edge 6.5 pts CSU
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UTSA
UTSA -550 · CSU +410
Total 58.5 — no O/U pick
CallStrong

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • UTSA rating -1.7, CSU rating -6.1.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to UTSA.
  • Predicted margin is UTSA by 7.
  • Edge is 6.5 points toward CSU.
  • Edge 6.5 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 4.5; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is UTSA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

CSU

FPI -6.1 · rank 96 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs BYU 41-23 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs SUU 58-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs WYO 35-13 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs AFA 42-21 · Fri, Nov 28
  5. L@ BOIS 49-21 · Sat, Nov 22

UTSA

FPI -1.7 · rank 76 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ TEX 30-6 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ TXST 31-26 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs RGV 45-16 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs FIU 57-20 · Fri, Dec 26
  5. Lvs ARMY 27-24 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.