Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sat, Sep 26 · 2:30pm CT · Waldo Stadium · Kalamazoo, MI · ESPN22:30pm CT
BOIS
Boise State Broncos · Pac-12 · 2-1 · Away
FPI 8.1 · rank 37 · No CFBD row
-7 (-115)
-285
WMU
Western Michigan Broncos · MAC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 0 · rank 66 · No CFBD row
+7 (-105)
+230

Market vs model

Spread
BOIS -7
WMU +7 (-105)
BOIS -7 (-115)
Model
BOIS -5.7
Edge 1.3 pts WMU
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
BOIS
WMU +230 · BOIS -285
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • WMU rating 0, BOIS rating 8.1.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to WMU.
  • Predicted margin is BOIS by 5.7.
  • Edge is 1.3 points toward WMU.
  • Edge 1.3 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -8.2; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is BOIS, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

BOIS

FPI 8.1 · rank 37 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs SDAK 38-24 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs MEM 38-20 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ ORE 34-27 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs WASH 38-10 · Sat, Dec 13
  5. Wvs UNLV 38-21 · Fri, Dec 5

WMU

FPI 0 · rank 66 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ RICE 28-21 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs MONM 49-14 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ MICH 13-12 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs KENN 41-6 · Fri, Dec 19
  5. Wvs M-OH 23-13 · Sat, Dec 6

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Edge 1.3 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -8.2; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML