Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Oct 3 · 6:30pm CT · Albertsons Stadium · Boise, ID · CBSSN6:30pm CT
USU
Utah State Aggies · Pac-12 · 0-3 · Away
FPI -8.8 · rank 108 · No CFBD row
BOIS
Boise State Broncos · Pac-12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI 8.1 · rank 37 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
BOIS
USU
Model
BOIS -19.4
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
BOIS
BOIS · USU
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • BOIS rating 8.1, USU rating -8.8.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to BOIS.
  • Predicted margin is BOIS by 19.4.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 19.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 16.9; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is BOIS, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

USU

FPI -8.8 · rank 108 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ UTAH 33-0 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ WASH 16-14 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Lvs IDST 29-17 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs WSU 34-21 · Mon, Dec 22
  5. Lvs BOIS 25-24 · Fri, Nov 28

BOIS

FPI 8.1 · rank 37 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs SDAK 38-24 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs MEM 38-20 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ ORE 34-27 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs WASH 38-10 · Sat, Dec 13
  5. Wvs UNLV 38-21 · Fri, Dec 5

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 19.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 16.9; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.