Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Oct 3 · 5:00pm CT · Canvas Stadium · Fort Collins, CO · USA Net5:00pm CT
ORST
Oregon State Beavers · Pac-12 · 1-2 · Away
FPI -2.2 · rank 78 · No CFBD row
CSU
Colorado State Rams · Pac-12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI -6.1 · rank 96 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
CSU
ORST
Model
ORST -1.4
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
CSU · ORST
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • CSU rating -6.1, ORST rating -2.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to CSU.
  • Predicted margin is ORST by 1.4.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 1.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap -3.9; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

ORST

FPI -2.2 · rank 78 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs MONT 52-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs TTU 35-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ HOU 33-20 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ WSU 32-8 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ TLSA 31-14 · Sat, Nov 15

CSU

FPI -6.1 · rank 96 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs BYU 41-23 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs SUU 58-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs WYO 35-13 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs AFA 42-21 · Fri, Nov 28
  5. L@ BOIS 49-21 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 1.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap -3.9; home field +2.5).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.