Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Oct 10 · 9:30pm CT · Valley Children's Stadium · Fresno, CA · CW9:30pm CT
BOIS
Boise State Broncos · Pac-12 · 2-1 · Away
FPI 8.1 · rank 37 · No CFBD row
FRES
Fresno State Bulldogs · Pac-12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI -0.5 · rank 69 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
FRES
BOIS
Model
BOIS -6.2
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
BOIS
FRES · BOIS
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • FRES rating -0.5, BOIS rating 8.1.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to FRES.
  • Predicted margin is BOIS by 6.2.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 6.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -8.7; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is BOIS, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

BOIS

FPI 8.1 · rank 37 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs SDAK 38-24 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs MEM 38-20 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ ORE 34-27 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs WASH 38-10 · Sat, Dec 13
  5. Wvs UNLV 38-21 · Fri, Dec 5

FRES

FPI -0.5 · rank 69 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ SJSU 26-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs SAC 49-3 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ USC 39-0 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. Wvs M-OH 18-3 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. W@ SJSU 41-14 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 6.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -8.7; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.