Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Oct 10 · 5:00pm CT · Reser Stadium · Corvallis, OR · USA Net5:00pm CT
SDSU
San Diego State Aztecs · Pac-12 · 1-2 · Away
FPI -3.3 · rank 81 · No CFBD row
ORST
Oregon State Beavers · Pac-12 · 1-2 · Home
FPI -2.2 · rank 78 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
ORST
SDSU
Model
ORST -3.6
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ORST
ORST · SDSU
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • ORST rating -2.2, SDSU rating -3.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to ORST.
  • Predicted margin is ORST by 3.6.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 3.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.1; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is ORST, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

SDSU

FPI -3.3 · rank 81 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs JMU 26-13 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ UCLA 28-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs PRST 53-20 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs UNT 49-47 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. L@ UNM 23-17 2OT · Fri, Nov 28

ORST

FPI -2.2 · rank 78 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs MONT 52-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs TTU 35-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ HOU 33-20 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ WSU 32-8 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ TLSA 31-14 · Sat, Nov 15

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 3.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.1; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.