Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sat, Oct 17 · 9:30pm CT · Snapdragon Stadium · San Diego, CA · CBSSN9:30pm CT
FRES
Fresno State Bulldogs · Pac-12 · 2-1 · Away
FPI -0.5 · rank 69 · No CFBD row
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—
SDSU
San Diego State Aztecs · Pac-12 · 1-2 · Home
FPI -3.3 · rank 81 · No CFBD row
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—

Market vs model

Spread
—
SDSU —
FRES —
Model
FRES -0.3
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
SDSU — · FRES —
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • SDSU rating -3.3, FRES rating -0.5.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to SDSU.
  • Predicted margin is FRES by 0.3.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 0.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -2.8; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

FRES

FPI -0.5 · rank 69 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ SJSU 26-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs SAC 49-3 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ USC 39-0 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. Wvs M-OH 18-3 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. W@ SJSU 41-14 · Sat, Nov 29

SDSU

FPI -3.3 · rank 81 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs JMU 26-13 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ UCLA 28-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs PRST 53-20 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs UNT 49-47 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. L@ UNM 23-17 2OT · Fri, Nov 28

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 0.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -2.8; home field +2.5).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.