Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Oct 24 · 5:30pm CT · Canvas Stadium · Fort Collins, CO · CW5:30pm CT
SDSU
San Diego State Aztecs · Pac-12 · 1-2 · Away
FPI -3.3 · rank 81 · No CFBD row
CSU
Colorado State Rams · Pac-12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI -6.1 · rank 96 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
CSU
SDSU
Model
SDSU -0.3
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
CSU · SDSU
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • CSU rating -6.1, SDSU rating -3.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to CSU.
  • Predicted margin is SDSU by 0.3.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 0.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -2.8; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

SDSU

FPI -3.3 · rank 81 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs JMU 26-13 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ UCLA 28-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs PRST 53-20 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs UNT 49-47 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. L@ UNM 23-17 2OT · Fri, Nov 28

CSU

FPI -6.1 · rank 96 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs BYU 41-23 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs SUU 58-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs WYO 35-13 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs AFA 42-21 · Fri, Nov 28
  5. L@ BOIS 49-21 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 0.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -2.8; home field +2.5).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.