Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Oct 24 · 6:30pm CT · UFCU Stadium · San Marcos, TX · CBSSN6:30pm CT
USU
Utah State Aggies · Pac-12 · 0-3 · Away
FPI -8.8 · rank 108 · No CFBD row
—
—
TXST
Texas State Bobcats · Pac-12 · 1-2 · Home
FPI -4.9 · rank 86 · No CFBD row
—
—
Market vs model
Spread
—
TXST —
USU —
USU —
Model
TXST -6.4
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TXST
TXST — · USU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- TXST rating -4.9, USU rating -8.8.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to TXST.
- Predicted margin is TXST by 6.4.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 6.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.9; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is TXST, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
USU
- L@ UTAH 33-0 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ WASH 16-14 · Sat, Sep 12
- Lvs IDST 29-17 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs WSU 34-21 · Mon, Dec 22
- Lvs BOIS 25-24 · Fri, Nov 28
TXST
- Wvs UNT 49-35 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs UTSA 31-26 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ TEX 59-7 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs RICE 41-10 · Fri, Jan 2
- Wvs USA 49-26 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 6.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.9; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.