Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Nov 7 · 5:00pm CT · Canvas Stadium · Fort Collins, CO · USA Net5:00pm CT
BOIS
Boise State Broncos · Pac-12 · 2-1 · Away
FPI 8.1 · rank 37 · No CFBD row
CSU
Colorado State Rams · Pac-12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI -6.1 · rank 96 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
CSU
BOIS
Model
BOIS -11.8
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
BOIS
CSU · BOIS
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • CSU rating -6.1, BOIS rating 8.1.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to CSU.
  • Predicted margin is BOIS by 11.8.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 11.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap -14.3; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is BOIS, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

BOIS

FPI 8.1 · rank 37 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs SDAK 38-24 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs MEM 38-20 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ ORE 34-27 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs WASH 38-10 · Sat, Dec 13
  5. Wvs UNLV 38-21 · Fri, Dec 5

CSU

FPI -6.1 · rank 96 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs BYU 41-23 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs SUU 58-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs WYO 35-13 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs AFA 42-21 · Fri, Nov 28
  5. L@ BOIS 49-21 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 11.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap -14.3; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.