Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Nov 7 · 8:30pm CT · Maverik Stadium · Logan, UT · USA Net8:30pm CT
FRES
Fresno State Bulldogs · Pac-12 · 2-1 · Away
FPI -0.5 · rank 69 · No CFBD row
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USU
Utah State Aggies · Pac-12 · 0-3 · Home
FPI -8.8 · rank 108 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
USU —
FRES —
FRES —
Model
FRES -5.8
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
FRES
USU — · FRES —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- USU rating -8.8, FRES rating -0.5.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to USU.
- Predicted margin is FRES by 5.8.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 5.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap -8.3; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is FRES, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
FRES
- W@ SJSU 26-10 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs SAC 49-3 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ USC 39-0 · Fri, Sep 4
- Wvs M-OH 18-3 · Sat, Dec 27
- W@ SJSU 41-14 · Sat, Nov 29
USU
- L@ UTAH 33-0 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ WASH 16-14 · Sat, Sep 12
- Lvs IDST 29-17 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs WSU 34-21 · Mon, Dec 22
- Lvs BOIS 25-24 · Fri, Nov 28
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 5.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap -8.3; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.